EUR/JPY: Is This Upside Break in Euro to Yen?

Key Highlights

  • The Euro started a nice upside move from the 130.50 swing low against the Japanese Yen.
  • There was a break above a crucial contracting triangle with resistance at 131.60 on the 4-hours chart of EUR/JPY.
  • The pair could gain traction if it continues to find support near 131.50.
  • Today, the German CPI figures for Feb 2018 will be released, which is expected to rise 0.5% (MoM).

EURJPY Technical Analysis

The Euro moved higher after consolidating around the 130.00 handle against the Japanese Yen. The EUR/JPY pair broke a major resistance near 131.50 to move into a positive zone.

EURJPY Technical Analysis Euro Japanese Yen

Looking at the 4-hours chart of EUR/JPY, the pair succeeded in forming a support base above 130.50 and moved higher. It broke the 50% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the 133.05 high to 129.37 low.

Moreover, there was a break above a crucial contracting triangle with resistance at 131.60, which opened the doors for more gains. Most importantly, the pair settled above 131.50 and 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hour).

On the upside, the next major hurdle is near the last high of 133.05 since it is close to the 200 simple moving average (green, 4-hour).

If the pair starts a downside correction from the current levels, the broken resistance near 131.50 may perhaps as a support. Below 131.50 and 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hour), the pair could move back in the bearish zone.

Economic Releases to Watch Today

  • German Consumer Price Index for Feb 2018 (YoY) – Forecast +1.4%, versus +1.4% previous.
  • German Consumer Price Index for Feb 2018 (MoM) – Forecast +0.5%, versus +0.5% previous.
  • Euro Zone Industrial Production for Jan 2018 (MoM) – Forecast -0.4%, versus +0.4% previous.
  • US Retail Sales for March 2018 (MoM) – Forecast +0.3%, versus -0.3% previous.
  • US Producer Price Index for Feb 2018 (MoM) – Forecast +0.1%, versus +0.4% previous.
  • US Producer Price Index for Feb 2018 (YoY) – Forecast +2.8%, versus +2.7% previous.


Aayush Jindal

Aayush is a Senior Forex, Cryptocurrencies and Financial Market Strategist with a background in IT and financial markets. He specialises in market strategies and technical analysis, and has spent over a decade as a financial markets contributor and observer. He possesses strong technical analytical skills and is well known for his entertaining and informative analysis of the currency, commodities, Bitcoin and Ethereum markets.

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