Gold Price Approaching Resistance, Fed Decision Next

Key Highlights

  • Gold price started an upside correction from $1,266 against the US Dollar.
  • There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $1,292 on the 4-hours chart of XAU/USD.
  • The US Pending Home Sales increased 3.8% in March 2019, more than the 1.1% forecast.
  • The Fed Interest Rate Decision is scheduled today (forecast 2.5%, versus 2.5% previous).

Gold Price Technical Analysis

After a strong drop, gold price found support near the $1,265-1,266 area against the US Dollar. The price started an upside correction and settled above the $1,272 resistance level.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

The 4-hours chart of XAU/USD indicates that the price formed a decent support base above $1,268 and $1,270. There was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $1,310 high to $1,266 swing low.

The price tested the $1,288 level, the 100 simple moving average (4-hours), and the 50% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $1,310 high to $1,266 swing low.

It seems like there are many hurdles on the upside near $1,288, $1,290 and $1,292. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $1,292 on the same chart. A successful close above $1,292 is needed for the bulls to gain traction towards $1,300 or $1,305.

Conversely, if the price fails to settle above $1,292 and the 100 SMA, there could be a fresh decline. An initial support is at $1,275, below which the price may test $1,270.

Looking at the major pairs, EUR/USD and GBP/USD started a strong rebound and traded above the 1.1180 and 1.3000 resistance levels respectively.

Economic Releases to Watch Today

  • UK Manufacturing PMI for April 2019 – Forecast 55.2, versus 54.5 previous.
  • UK Manufacturing PMI for April 2019 – Forecast 55.2, versus 54.5 previous.
  • US ISM Manufacturing Index for April 2019 – Forecast 55.0, versus 55.3 previous.
  • US ADP Employment Change April 2019 – Forecast 180K, versus 129K previous.
  • Fed Interest Rate Decision – Forecast 2.5%, versus 2.5% previous.


Aayush Jindal

Aayush is a Senior Forex, Cryptocurrencies and Financial Market Strategist with a background in IT and financial markets. He specialises in market strategies and technical analysis, and has spent over a decade as a financial markets contributor and observer. He possesses strong technical analytical skills and is well known for his entertaining and informative analysis of the currency, commodities, Bitcoin and Ethereum markets.

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