(function() { var didInit = false; function initMunchkin() { if(didInit === false) { didInit = true; Munchkin.init('105-GAR-921'); } } var s = document.createElement('script'); s.type = 'text/javascript'; s.defer = true; s.src = '//munchkin.marketo.net/munchkin.js'; s.onreadystatechange = function() { if (this.readyState == 'complete' || this.readyState == 'loaded') { initMunchkin(); } }; s.onload = initMunchkin; document.getElementsByTagName('head')[0].appendChild(s); })();(function(h,o,t,j,a,r){ h.hj=h.hj||function(){(h.hj.q=h.hj.q||[]).push(arguments)}; h._hjSettings={hjid:1422437,hjsv:6}; a=o.getElementsByTagName('head')[0]; r=o.createElement('script');r.defer=1; r.src=t+h._hjSettings.hjid+j+h._hjSettings.hjsv; a.appendChild(r); })(window,document,'https://static.hotjar.com/c/hotjar-','.js?sv=');

Aayush Jindal

Key Highlights

  • The British Pound found strong bids near 1.3100 and recovered above 1.3200 against the US Dollar.
  • There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3235 on the 4-hours chart of GBP/USD.
  • The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) declined in May 2018 from the last revised reading of 0.42 to -0.15.
  • Today in the UK, CBI Industrial Trends Survey Realized figure for June 2018 will be released, which is forecasted to post 10% (MoM).

GBPUSD Technical Analysis

The British Pound managed to hold the 1.3100-10 support and bounced back against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair broke the 1.3180 and 1.3200 resistance levels to move back in a positive zone.GBPUSD Technical Analysis British Pound US DollarLooking at the 4-hours chart, the pair was successful in climbing above the 50% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the 1.3446 high to 1.3102 low. During the upside, there was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3235 on the same chart.However, the pair faced a major hurdle near the 1.3315 level and the 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hours). The 61.8% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the 1.3446 high to 1.3102 low also acted as a resistance.The pair dipped slightly, but the decline was protected by the 1.3230 support zone. It seems like the pair may perhaps trade in a range above 1.3200 for some time before making the next move.A break above 1.3315 is needed for a push above the 1.3350 level. The next resistance is near 1.3385 and the 200 simple moving average (green, 4-hours).On the downside, supports are seen at 1.3230 and 1.3200. Below this last, the pair could move back in a bearish zone.Recently in the US, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) for May 2018 was released by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. The market was looking for a decline in the index from the last reading of 0.34 to 0.09.However, the actual result was disappointing as there was a sharp decline from the last revised reading of 0.42 to -0.15. It weighed on the US Dollar and helped pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD.

Economic Releases to Watch Today

  • UK’s CBI Industrial Trends Survey Realized June 2018 (MoM) - Forecast 10%, versus 11% previous.
  • S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices for April 2018 (YoY) - Forecast +6.8%, versus +6.8% previous.
Great