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Aayush Jindal

Key Highlights

  • AUD/USD is trading nicely above the key 0.7200 support zone.
  • A crucial bullish trend line is in place with support near 0.7200 on the 4-hours chart.
  • GBP/USD extended its decline below the 1.3000 support.
  • The US Initial Jobless Claims could decline from 881K to 846K in the week ending Sep 05, 2020.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

This past week, the Aussie Dollar declined below the 0.7320 support against the US Dollar. AUD/USD even traded below the 0.7250 support level, but the bulls were able to protect the 0.7200 support.

Looking at the 4-hours chart, the pair found support near a multi-touch zone near 0.7200 and the 200 simple moving average (green, 4-hours). A low is formed near 0.7192 and the pair started a decent recovery wave.

There was a break above the 0.7240 resistance. The pair even recovered above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.7413 high to 0.7192 low.

On the upside, there is a major resistance forming near the 0.7300 level. The 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.7413 high to 0.7192 low is also near 0.7302. A clear break above the 0.7300 resistance could lead the pair towards the 0.7350 and 0.7400 levels.

Conversely, the pair could decline below 0.7220. However, there is a strong support waiting on the downside near 0.7200 and a crucial bullish trend line on the same chart. A daily close below the 0.7200 support might start a sustained downward move.

Overall, AUD/USD is trading above a major support at 0.7200 and it could continue to recover. Looking at GBP/USD, there was a sharp decline below 1.3050 and 1.3000. On the other hand, downsides were limited in EUR/USD below 1.1780.

Upcoming Economic Releases

  • ECB Interest Rate Decision – Forecast 0%, versus 0% previous.
  • US Initial Jobless Claims - Forecast 846K, versus 881K previous.