(function() { var didInit = false; function initMunchkin() { if(didInit === false) { didInit = true; Munchkin.init('105-GAR-921'); } } var s = document.createElement('script'); s.type = 'text/javascript'; s.defer = true; s.src = '//munchkin.marketo.net/munchkin.js'; s.onreadystatechange = function() { if (this.readyState == 'complete' || this.readyState == 'loaded') { initMunchkin(); } }; s.onload = initMunchkin; document.getElementsByTagName('head')[0].appendChild(s); })();(function(h,o,t,j,a,r){ h.hj=h.hj||function(){(h.hj.q=h.hj.q||[]).push(arguments)}; h._hjSettings={hjid:1422437,hjsv:6}; a=o.getElementsByTagName('head')[0]; r=o.createElement('script');r.defer=1; r.src=t+h._hjSettings.hjid+j+h._hjSettings.hjsv; a.appendChild(r); })(window,document,'https://static.hotjar.com/c/hotjar-','.js?sv=');

Aayush Jindal

Key Highlights

  • Crude oil price gained bullish momentum above the $41.25 resistance against the US dollar.
  • A crucial bullish trend line is forming with support near $40.20 on the 4-hours chart of XTI/USD.
  • GBP/USD outperformed and surpassed the 1.2700 resistance.
  • Canada’s CPI could increase 0.2% in June 2020 (YoY), up from the last -0.4%.

Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis

After multiple failed attempts to clear $41.25, crude oil price finally gained strength. The price surged above the $41.25 and $41.50 resistance levels.

Looking at the 4-hours chart of XTI/USD, the price is following a nice bullish path above the $40.00 pivot level, the 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hours), and the 200 simple moving average (green, 4-hours).

This week, it broke a couple of important hurdles near $41.25 and a connecting bearish trend line on the same chart. As a result, the price traded to a new 4-month high above $42.00.

In the short-term, there could be a downside correction. However, the previous resistance near $41.25 and $41.00 could act as a strong support. There is also a crucial bullish trend line forming with support near $40.20 on the same chart.

Therefore, dips towards the $41.00 and $40.00 levels may perhaps find buyers. On the upside, the $42.20 and $42.50 levels are immediate hurdles. A clear break above the $42.50 resistance could open the doors for a larger rally towards the $45.00 level.

Looking at major pairs, GBP/USD remained in a positive zone and it managed to pop above the main 1.2700 resistance zone.

Economic Releases to Watch Today

  • Canadian Consumer Price Index June 2020 (MoM) – Forecast +0.4%, versus +0.3% previous.
  • Canadian Consumer Price Index June 2020 (YoY) – Forecast +0.2%, versus -0.4% previous.
  • US Housing Price Index May 2020 (MoM) - Forecast +0.3%, versus +0.2% previous.
Great