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EUR/USD Could Struggle To Recover Above 1.0650

Aayush Jindal

Aayush Jindal

Key Highlights

  • EUR/USD tumbled below 1.0650 and 1.0550.
  • It traded to a new multi-month low below 1.0480.
  • GBP/USD fell sharply and tested 1.2440, while USD/JPY jumped above 131.00.
  • The US ISM Manufacturing Index could increase from 57.1 to 58.0 in April 2022.

 

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

The Euro gained bearish momentum after it broke the 1.0750 support against the US Dollar. EUR/USD traded below the 1.0650 support to enter a bearish zone.

Looking at the 4-hours chart, the pair tumbled below the 1.0600 level. It even settled below 1.0600, the 200 simple moving average (green, 4-hours), and the 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hours).

Finally, there was a spike below the 1.0500 level and the pair traded to a new multi-month low at 1.0471. It is now correcting losses above the 1.0500 level. There was a move above a steep bearish trend line at 1.0525 on the same chart.

An immediate resistance is near the 1.0650 level. It is near the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the key decline from the 1.0936 swing high to 1.0471 low.

The next major resistance is seen near the 1.0700 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the key decline from the 1.0936 swing high to 1.0471 low, above which the pair could start a steady increase.

If not, there is a risk of more losses below 1.0500. The next major support is near the 1.0475 level. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move towards the 1.0420 support zone.

Looking at GBP/USD, the pair gained bearish momentum below the 1.2750 support and even spiked below 1.2500.

Economic Releases

  • Euro Zone Consumer Confidence for April 2022 – Forecast -16.9, versus -16.9 previous.
  • US ISM Manufacturing Index for April 2022 – Forecast 58.0, versus 57.1 previous.