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GBP/USD Rally Seems Unstoppable, Dips Likely Supported

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Aayush Jindal

Key Highlights

  • GBP/USD soared above 1.2500 and traded to a new monthly high at 1.2731.
  • A major bullish trend line is forming with support near 1.2600 on the 4-hours chart.
  • EUR/USD is holding the 1.1250 and 1.1220 supports levels.
  • The Euro Zone Gross Domestic Product is likely to decline 3.8% in Q1 2020 (QoQ).

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

This past week, the British gained momentum above the 1.2500 resistance against the US Dollar. GBP/USD accelerated higher above 1.2600 and traded to a new monthly high.

Looking at the 4-hours chart, the pair traded as high as 1.2731 and settled well above both the 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hours) and the 200 simple moving average (green, 4-hours).

Recently, there was a minor downside correction below 1.2700. There was a break below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.2500 low to 1.2731 high.

On the downside, there is a decent support forming near the 1.2600 area. There is also a major bullish trend line forming with support near 1.2600 on the same chart. The trend line is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.2500 low to 1.2731 high.

Therefore, dips are likely to find a strong buying interest near 1.2600. Any further losses may perhaps push GBP/USD towards the 1.2550 support.

On the upside, there is a key barrier forming near the 1.2700-1.2720 zone. A successful close above 1.2720 could open the doors for a large upward move.

Similarly, EUR/USD is trading in an uptrend above the key 1.1250 and 1.1220 support levels.

Upcoming Economic Releases

  • Euro Zone Gross Domestic Product Q1 2020 (QoQ) - Forecast -3.8%, versus -3.8% previous.
  • Euro Zone Gross Domestic Product Q1 2020 (YoY) - Forecast -3.2%, versus -3.2% previous.
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