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Gold Price Showing Signs of Fresh Decrease Below $1,950

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Aayush Jindal

Key Highlights

  • Gold price corrected higher, but it failed to settle above the $2,000 resistance.
  • There was a break below a major bullish trend line at $1,980 on the 4-hours chart of XAU/USD.
  • Both EUR/USD and GBP/USD traded to a new monthly high before correcting lower.
  • The US Initial Jobless Claims in the week ending August 15, 2020 could decline from 963K to 925K.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

After declining sharply to $1,863, gold price started an upside correction against the US Dollar. The price recovered nicely above $1,900 and $1,950, but it struggled to gain strength above the $2,000 level.

The 4-hours chart of XAU/USD indicates that the price traded as high as $2,015 before starting a fresh decrease. There was a break below the $2,000 support level and the 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hours).

Moreover, there was a break below a major bullish trend line at $1,980 on the same chart. The price traded below the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the $1,862 low to $2,015 high.

If the price continues to move down, the price might decline towards the $1,920 support. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the $1,862 low to $2,015 high.

Any further losses could lead the price towards the $1,900 support or the 200 simple moving average (green, 4-hours). Conversely, the price could bounce back from $1,920 or $1,900.

On the upside, the price is facing hurdles near $1,980 and $2,000. A successful daily close above $2,000 is needed for a sustained upward move. The next key resistance is near $2,025 and $2,032.

Looking at EUR/USD and GBP/USD, both started a short-term downside correction after trading to a new multi-week high.

Economic Releases to Watch Today

  • US Initial Jobless Claims - Forecast 925K, versus 963K previous.
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