(function() { var didInit = false; function initMunchkin() { if(didInit === false) { didInit = true; Munchkin.init('105-GAR-921'); } } var s = document.createElement('script'); s.type = 'text/javascript'; s.defer = true; s.src = '//munchkin.marketo.net/munchkin.js'; s.onreadystatechange = function() { if (this.readyState == 'complete' || this.readyState == 'loaded') { initMunchkin(); } }; s.onload = initMunchkin; document.getElementsByTagName('head')[0].appendChild(s); })();(function(h,o,t,j,a,r){ h.hj=h.hj||function(){(h.hj.q=h.hj.q||[]).push(arguments)}; h._hjSettings={hjid:1422437,hjsv:6}; a=o.getElementsByTagName('head')[0]; r=o.createElement('script');r.defer=1; r.src=t+h._hjSettings.hjid+j+h._hjSettings.hjsv; a.appendChild(r); })(window,document,'https://static.hotjar.com/c/hotjar-','.js?sv=');

Aayush Jindal

Key Highlights

  • USD/JPY again did not surpass the 159.00 resistance and dipped.
  • A possible double top pattern could be formed at 159.00 on the 4-hour chart.
  • EUR/USD started a minor recovery wave from the 1.1120 support.
  • WTI Crude Oil prices might gain traction if there is a close above $98.00.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

The US Dollar made another attempt to clear 159.00 against the Japanese Yen. USD/JPY failed to gain momentum, struggled to continue higher, and dipped.

Looking at the 4-hour chart, the pair traded below a contracting triangle with support at 158.20. There was a dip to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 156.37 swing low to the 158.54 high, and the 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hour).

Immediate support could be near the 61.8% Fib retracement level at 157.36. The first major support might be near the 200 simple moving average (green, 4-hour) and 157.00.

A close below 157.00 might accelerate the decline. In the stated case, the pair might drop to 155.50. If there is another increase, USD/JPY could face resistance near 158.40. The first major resistance might be 158.80.

The main hurdle could still be 159.00. A close above the 159.00 pivot level could start a steady increase. In the stated case, the pair might even surpass 160.00.

Looking at EUR/USD, the pair found some support near 1.1120 and might try a recovery wave if USD/JPY extends its decline.

Upcoming Key Economic Events:

  • Fed's Chair Warsh speech.
  • US Import Price Index for Sep 2026 (MoM) – Forecast +0.8%, versus +0.7% previous.
  • US Export Price Index for Sep 2026 (MoM) – Forecast +1.0%, versus +0.6% previous.
  • US Industrial Production for Sep 2026 (MoM) – Forecast +0.4%, versus 0% previous.
Excellent
Loading