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EUR/USD Approaching Next Major Break, 1.2150 Holds The Key

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Aayush Jindal

Key Highlights

  • EUR/USD started a downside correction from the 1.2260 resistance.
  • A crucial contracting triangle is forming with resistance near 1.2205 on the 4-hours chart.
  • GBP/USD could attempt an upside break above 1.3620 and 1.3650.
  • Gold price is consolidating below the key $1,900 resistance zone.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

This past week, the Euro started a downside correction after it failed to clear 1.2260 against the US Dollar. EUR/USD broke the 1.2220 support, but stayed above the 1.2150 support.

Looking at the 4-hours chart, the pair traded as low as 1.2152 and remained well bid above the 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hours). There was a recovery wave from 1.2152 and the pair climbed above the 1.2200.

However, the pair failed to clear the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2256 high to 1.2152 low. Moreover, there is a crucial contracting triangle forming with resistance near 1.2205 on the same chart.

A clear break above the triangle resistance and 1.2220 could open the doors for a fresh increase. The next major resistance on the upside is near 1.2260, followed by 1.2280.

If there is a downside break below the triangle support, there is risk of a breakdown below the 1.2150 support and the 100 SMA. In the stated case, the pair could grind lower towards the 1.2120 and 1.2100 support levels.

Looking at GBP/USD, the pair seems to be facing a major hurdle at 1.3620, above which it could rally to 1.3700. Similarly, gold price might gain bullish momentum if it clears the $1,900 resistance zone.

Economic Releases

  • Dallas Fed conducts the Texas Manufacturing Dec 2020 - Forecast 12.0, versus 12.0 previous.
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